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Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

In: Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, vol. 63, no. 4
Daniel Marton - Miloš Starý - Pavel Menšík
Detaily:
Rok, strany: 2015, 287 - 294
Kľúčové slová:
Uncertainties; Reliability; Reservoir storage capacity; Monte Carlo method; Mean monthly flows; Evaporation; Elevation–volume curve; Elevation–area curve.
URL originálneho zdroja: http://www.ih.savba.sk/jhh
O článku:
The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for active reservoir conservation storage capacity and its achieved values. By introducing uncertainties into the considered inputs of the water management analysis of a reservoir, the subsequent analysed reservoir storage capacity is also affected with uncertainties. The values of water outflows from the reservoir and the hydrological reliabilities are affected with uncertainties as well. A simulation model of reservoir behaviour has been compiled with this kind of calculation as stated below. The model allows evaluation of the solution results, taking uncertainties into consideration, in contributing to a reduction in the occurrence of failure or lack of water during reservoir operation in low-water and dry periods.
Ako citovať:
ISO 690:
Marton, D., Starý, M., Menšík, P. 2015. Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity. In Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, vol. 63, no.4, pp. 287-294. 0042-790X (until 2019) .

APA:
Marton, D., Starý, M., Menšík, P. (2015). Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity. Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63(4), 287-294. 0042-790X (until 2019) .