Prognosis of climate change driven drought in the Poprad, Torysa and Topľa River Basins

Year, pages: 2018, 234 - 243

The paper presents drought research results for Poprad, Torysa and Topľa River basins of the Eastern Slovakia. Climatic and hydrological conditions representing the period 1981–2012 were studied. Wet and dry years occurrence were analysed and hydrological balance elements were calculated using the Bilan and Frier models. Next, the prognosis of hydrological balance elements development was calculated using the climate change scenarios KNMI2 and MPI1 data till the year 2100. The results showed that changes in the annual cycle and amount of water in respective elements of the hydrological balance can be expected. The shift of maximum precipitation amounts from the summer to the autumn period could be expected in all evaluated catchments. The total runoff amount should decrease in the Poprad River Basin and instead of the long-term snow melt runoff in the April–June period the short-term intense April runoff is expected. The milder winters in the Torysa and Topľa River Basins should become evident through smaller snow accumulation and larger winter runoff. The evident decrease in the soil moisture and groundwater storage should occur in all three evaluated basins the summer-autumn period.

Fendeková, M., Horvát, O., Blaškovičová, L., Danáčová, Z., Fendek, M., Bochníček, O. 2018. Prognosis of climate change driven drought in the Poprad, Torysa and Topľa River Basins. In Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, vol. 19, no.2, pp. 234-243. 2644-4690.

Fendeková, M., Horvát, O., Blaškovičová, L., Danáčová, Z., Fendek, M., Bochníček, O. (2018). Prognosis of climate change driven drought in the Poprad, Torysa and Topľa River Basins. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 19(2), 234-243. 2644-4690.