In: Contributions of the Astronomical Observatory Skalnaté Pleso, vol. 41, no. 2
M. Minarovjech - V. Rušin - M. Saniga
Detaily:
Rok, strany: 2011, 175 - 182
Kľúčové slová:
Sun: solar cycle, Sun: prominences and emission corona, Sun: predicting minima/maxima
URL originálneho zdroja: http://www.astro.sk/caosp/Eedition/Abstracts/2011/Vol_41/No_2/pp175-182_abstract.html
O článku:
Predicting maxima and minima of solar activity cycles, including their magnitude, is important not only for a better understanding of the underlying physical processes on the Sun, but also from the point of view of solar-terrestrial relations. Such predictions employ a variety of well-know relations like those between even and odd cycles, or between the AA index and the Wolf number. Our prediction is based on the properties of large-scale meridional motions of prominences and the areas of enhanced intensities of the green line corona. We predict two maxima of cycle 24; first at the end of 2011, the other at the end of 2012. Although our method is unable to predict the magnitude of cycles, a relatively stable structural pattern of the above-mentioned meridional motions makes this method suitable for long-term predictions of the maxima/minima timings up to 2025.
Ako citovať:
ISO 690:
Minarovjech, M., Rušin, V., Saniga, M. 2011. Predicting minima and maxima of solar cycles based on prominences and emission corona. In Contributions of the Astronomical Observatory Skalnaté Pleso, vol. 41, no.2, pp. 175-182. 1335-1842.
APA:
Minarovjech, M., Rušin, V., Saniga, M. (2011). Predicting minima and maxima of solar cycles based on prominences and emission corona. Contributions of the Astronomical Observatory Skalnaté Pleso, 41(2), 175-182. 1335-1842.