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Asymmetries in Twin Deficit Hypothesis: Evidence from CEE Countries

In: Ekonomický časopis/Journal of Economics, vol. 66, no. 6
Taner Turan - Mesut Karakas
Detaily:
Rok, strany: 2018, 580 - 597
Jazyk: eng
Kľúčové slová:
twin deficit, asymmetry, CEE countries, Ricardian Equivalence; JEL Classification: E60, F32, F40
Typ článku: Vedecký / Article
Typ dokumentu: /
O článku:
We apply nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach to investigate the relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit in Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Our results indicate that changes in current account deficit have a significant effect on the budget deficit in Poland and Romania in the long-run and Croatia, Poland, Romania and Slovakia in the short-run. On the other hand, changes in budget deficit significantly affect the current account deficit in Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia in the long-run and in Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, and Romania in the short-run. Therefore, we conclude that the twin deficit hypothesis is valid for Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia but not for the case of Poland, Croatia, Romania and Slovenia in the long-run. Finally, we also present evidence for the existence of asymmetric effects in this context.
We apply nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach to investigate the relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit in Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Our results indicate that changes in current account deficit have a significant effect on the budget deficit in Poland and Romania in the long-run and Croatia, Poland, Romania and Slovakia in the short-run. On the other hand, changes in budget deficit significantly affect the current account deficit in Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia in the long-run and in Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, and Romania in the short-run. Therefore, we conclude that the twin deficit hypothesis is valid for Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia but not for the case of Poland, Croatia, Romania and Slovenia in the long-run. Finally, we also present evidence for the existence of asymmetric effects in this context.
Ako citovať:
ISO 690:
Turan, T., Karakas, M. 2018. Asymmetries in Twin Deficit Hypothesis: Evidence from CEE Countries. In Ekonomický časopis/Journal of Economics, vol. 66, no.6, pp. 580-597. 0013-3035. DOI: https://doi.org/

APA:
Turan, T., Karakas, M. (2018). Asymmetries in Twin Deficit Hypothesis: Evidence from CEE Countries. Ekonomický časopis/Journal of Economics, 66(6), 580-597. 0013-3035. DOI: https://doi.org/
O vydaní:
Vydavateľ: Ekonomický ústav SAV a Prognostický ústav CSPV SAV /
Publikované: 20. 6. 2018
Verejná licencia:
Open Access