Analysis of future changes in the characteristics of short-term rainfalls at the Myjava climatological station

Year, pages: 2018, 78 - 83

The work focuses on the analysis of the future changes in the intensity of short term rainfall at the Myjava climatological station in the northern region of Western Slovakia. Analysis of future changes of trends and scaling coefficients was detected on the intensities of short-term rainfall for the months of the warm period. Four regional climate scenarios were used for the period 2070–2100. To compare the changes the real measured rainfall depths for the period 1995–2009 were also evaluated. Trend testing was performed for durations 60, 120, 180, 240 and 1440 minutes by using Mann-Kendall trend test. Scaling coefficients of rainfall depths was determinate by using the simple scaling method and were compared with the values of the historical period. In trends significant trends were detected in most simulations. Detected significant trends have prevailing decreasing tendency. Analysis of scaling coefficients showed changes only in June and August, where the increasing design values of rainfall depths were determined.

Földes, G., Kohnová, S., Marková, R. 2018. Analysis of future changes in the characteristics of short-term rainfalls at the Myjava climatological station. In Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, vol. 19, no.1, pp. 78-83. 2644-4690.

Földes, G., Kohnová, S., Marková, R. (2018). Analysis of future changes in the characteristics of short-term rainfalls at the Myjava climatological station. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 19(1), 78-83. 2644-4690.