Scenarios of air temperature and precipitation totals using a CGCM 3.1 model at Zahorska Lowland vs. reality

Year, pages: 2017, 91 - 97

In this paper, we decided to evaluate the real measurements of air temperature and precipitation total and simulated data obtained using the climate model CGCM 3.1 by emission scenarios SRES A2 and SRES B1. The results are from Zahorska lowland, which is located in the western part of Slovakia. Trend of air temperature during the period 1996 – 2014 is higher compared to the simulated data. The trend in longer scale of the years 1961 – 2100 is almost identical with the SRES A2 scenario. The precipitation total has in the period 1996 – 2014 increasing trend, similar to the SRES B1 scenario, but the annual precipitation total is lower than the assumed scenario. The trend balanced in longer scale of the years 1961 – 2100 and it is lower than scenario prognoses. Reversing verification of simulated data is important because of applicability in our conditions and also to verifying the simulated data in the future.

Vitková, J., Skalová, J., Jarabicová, M. 2017. Scenarios of air temperature and precipitation totals using a CGCM 3.1 model at Zahorska Lowland vs. reality. In Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, vol. 18, no.1, pp. 91-97. 2644-4690.

Vitková, J., Skalová, J., Jarabicová, M. (2017). Scenarios of air temperature and precipitation totals using a CGCM 3.1 model at Zahorska Lowland vs. reality. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 18(1), 91-97. 2644-4690.